When the pollsters first started surveying surveyors in the late 1990s, they discovered a number of problems with the method.
It took them hours to complete an accurate survey.
“It’s very difficult to get a lot of information in one go,” said Michael O’Connor, who was the surveyor for the North West Metropolitan Statistical Area in Victoria at the time.
“You have to look at a bunch of different factors, such as who the survey is for, what kind of people they are, where they are coming from, what’s their employment situation, what their demographic is.
You have to know the whole picture.”
In a way, the survey has become a little bit like the Olympics.
Every team has got their own individual strengths and weaknesses, but it’s the team that you’re watching that will determine the outcome.
“Surveyors found the method wasn’t reliable because they didn’t have enough information to make a good prediction about the results.
Surveyor Michael OConnor says it was a challenge to find accurate information for surveyors.
Source: ABC News / Alamy “We had to rely on guesswork, which is not a very good way to get accurate information,” Mr O’ Connor said.”
And the fact that we didn’t know how the population was changing at that time, the way the labour market was changing, we just didn’t get a good picture of where people were.
Mr OConnor said. “
I don’t think we got the most accurate information, it was just that we could find out, ‘well, how many people are going to vote for this particular party or that one?'”
Mr OConnor said.
The commission was set up to administer the elections, and surveyors were given a free hand to make their own predictions.
“There’s always a chance they’ll have a good guess and they might not,” he said.
“That was something that was a problem with the commission, that we had to be very careful about, and that was one of the reasons why I left the commission in 1993.”
The lack of reliable information meant surveyors had to look beyond their areas to get information.
One of the main factors in that was the number of candidates, which had been dropping in the state.
At the time, in Victoria’s most populous metropolitan areas, the number was less than 10 per cent.
At the end of the 1990s election, Victoria’s Liberal Party held a lead of around 30 per cent over Labor in the Victorian electorate of South Melbourne, which was one point ahead of its regional rival.
The election result was decided by less than one per cent of Victorians voting.
But the commission’s surveyors discovered something very different in Victoria.
According to the Victoria Election Commission’s own surveyors’ report, the level of voter turnout for the 1997 election was more than double the turnout for that election.
In Victoria, the turnout was between 20 and 25 per cent, well above the 10 per% level required to win.
“We have a number that’s been really quite impressive,” Mr Connor said of the 1997 Victorian election.
“[The turnout] was more like 60-70 per cent.”
Surveys showed that, in terms of the number people who voted, the Coalition won more seats than Labor.
But what did that really mean?
Surveying in the 1980s was difficult because it was so early in the election cycle.
What happened was that, at the last minute, a lot more people started to vote than anticipated.
A lot of those early votes were going to Labor, and then some people were going back to the Liberal Party.
How much of a factor was that?
In that context, it seems pretty clear that the Liberal party’s early vote was responsible for about half the margin between Labor and the Coalition.
And in that context the Coalition still managed to win almost 50 per cent more seats.
So how did this vote count?
The Commission’s report found the Coalition was only in a position to win 44.5 per cent fewer seats than the Liberals.
That was a significant margin of victory.
Was that enough to make the difference?
The result of the 1996 election was a major blow to the Coalition, and it was the largest in the history of the state election.
The first round of the election was held in September 1996, with the Coalition taking almost 53 per cent to Labor’s 47 per cent lead.
During the next election, in 1998, the Liberal-National Coalition would take just 27 per cent less seats than they did in the first election.
It was a time of major change for Victoria.
After the death of Victorian Prime Minister Tony Abbott in 1998 and the dissolution of the Commonwealth, the states were left with a